{"id":34309,"date":"2026-07-19T08:36:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T06:36:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xoinvestments.ch\/?p=34309"},"modified":"2026-07-19T09:28:01","modified_gmt":"2026-07-19T07:28:01","slug":"spacex-goes-public-a-sign-of-a-new-wave-of-mega-ipos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xoinvestments.ch\/en\/actualites\/spacex-goes-public-a-sign-of-a-new-wave-of-mega-ipos\/","title":{"rendered":"SpaceX goes public: a sign of a new wave of mega-IPOs?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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XO INVESTMENTS’ services for private clients range from wealth management to pension advice.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\r\n\t\t\t<\/span>\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tJune\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h4>\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tSPACEX GOES PUBLIC: A SIGN OF A NEW WAVE OF MEGA-IPOS?\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h1>\r\n\t\t
SpaceX\u2019s flotation marks a turning point for public markets. It provides access to a company that epitomises the space, connectivity and AI sectors. However, its valuation is based on highly ambitious growth scenarios. It could also pave the way for a new wave of tech mega-IPOs. <\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tSpaceX: much more than just a space company\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h2>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Cr\u00e9\u00e9e par Elon Musk en 2002, SpaceX a \u00e9t\u00e9 fond\u00e9e avec l’ambition de r\u00e9duire le co\u00fbt d’acc\u00e8s \u00e0 l’espace et de d\u00e9velopper des capacit\u00e9s permettant, \u00e0 long terme, des missions habit\u00e9es vers Mars. L\u2019entreprise est surtout connue pour ses lanceurs r\u00e9utilisables, d\u00e9sormais utilis\u00e9s par la NASA pour ravitailler la Station spatiale internationale. Au cours du temps, SpaceX a toutefois \u00e9largi son champ d\u2019activit\u00e9 autour de trois p\u00f4les distincts : l\u2019espace, la connectivit\u00e9 et depuis tr\u00e8s r\u00e9cemment l\u2019intelligence artificielle. Le segment connectivit\u00e9 repose sur Starlink, qui fournit depuis 2019 un acc\u00e8s \u00e0 Internet par satellite au moyen d\u2019un r\u00e9seau d\u2019environ 10’000 satellites. La fusion avec xAI en f\u00e9vrier 2026 a ajout\u00e9 une composante li\u00e9e \u00e0 l’intelligence artificielle (IA) au p\u00e9rim\u00e8tre du groupe. Ces trois activit\u00e9s pr\u00e9sentent aujourd\u2019hui des profils et des dynamiques tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rents. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Connectivity, the only profitable segment, is growing strongly. The space segment requires investment, particularly in research and development, which weighs heavily on profits. The AI segment also ended 2025 at a loss due to the capital expenditure required to maintain the infrastructure. As such, SpaceX is a company that is not currently generating profits. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tSpaceX\u2019s IPO\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h2>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Until recently, SpaceX was a private company and was classified as a \u2018unicorn\u2019 \u2013 that is, a company valued at over $1 billion without being listed on a stock exchange or affiliated with a major group. On 12 June, its shares began trading on the Nasdaq, the US stock market primarily associated with technology and growth companies. At the time of its initial public offering (IPO), SpaceX was valued at approximately 1,750 billion USD. <\/p>

The IPO comes after the bulk of the value creation has taken place in the private markets. As illustrated by the chart below, SpaceX\u2019s valuation rose from $74 billion in early 2021 to $210 billion in mid-2024, and then to $350 billion during the takeover bid in December 2024. It then reached $800 billion a year later, before reaching an implied value of $1,000 billion at the time of the merger with xAI in February 2026. SpaceX\u2019s implied valuation at the time of the IPO was $1,770 billion. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tEuphoric investors\u2026\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h2>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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The IPO was very well received by investors. Listed at 135 USD, the share closed its first trading session at 160.95 USD, representing a rise of 19.2 per cent. The enthusiasm continued in the days that followed, with the share price rising above $225 (+66.7%), before falling back to around $153, which still represents an increase of around 13.5% compared with the IPO price. Over the same period, the Nasdaq technology index fell by 2%. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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With the share price exceeding USD 225, SpaceX\u2019s market capitalisation reached almost USD 3,000 billion and temporarily overtook Microsoft as the world\u2019s fourth-largest company. At the current price, SpaceX ranks sixth in the global list of the largest companies. Two observations emerge from this ranking. Firstly, one has to go down to seventh place to find a non-US company, which reflects the heavy concentration of global equity markets around US firms. Secondly, the top eight companies all have activities related to artificial intelligence, whether as providers of solutions, infrastructure or key technologies. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Only 4 per cent of the company\u2019s shares have been floated on the stock market, with the remainder remaining in private hands \u2013 for the time being, at least. Consequently, SpaceX currently accounts for a small weighting in stock market indices: approximately 0.5 per cent on the Nasdaq and 0.1 per cent on the Russell 3000. The providers of these indices have, however, put in place fast-track procedures to allow for the company\u2019s quicker inclusion. S&P Dow Jones Indices, on the other hand, has not implemented a similar procedure. SpaceX has therefore not yet been included in the S&P 500, notably because it does not meet several criteria: <\/p>

  • a free float of more than 10 per cent;<\/li>
  • a listing history of at least twelve months;<\/li>
  • positive profits.<\/li><\/ul>

    SpaceX\u2019s weighting in the indices is nevertheless expected to increase gradually. As the lock-up periods for private investors expire, the free float is expected to widen, which would automatically lead to an increase in its weighting in the indices. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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    \r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\t\u2026 but demanding\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h2>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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    The market thus values SpaceX as one of the world\u2019s largest companies despite its lack of profits. This valuation, however, is based on investors\u2019 expectations, who believe that SpaceX will eventually be on a par with the world\u2019s leading companies.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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    However, such a valuation implies extremely ambitious growth scenarios based, in particular, on the following assumptions:<\/p>

    • Starlink becomes a global telecoms giant;<\/li>
    • SpaceX maintains its dominant position in the launch market;<\/li>
    • Starship (the new giant rocket) becomes operational;<\/li>
    • Margins increase significantly.<\/li><\/ul>

      The expectations factored into the share price are therefore high, and several risks remain: intensifying competition in satellite telecommunications; delays or technical difficulties with the Starship rocket; regulatory and geopolitical constraints; difficulty in monetising investments in AI; and continued high levels of capital expenditure.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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      \r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t\tMore mega-IPOs on the horizon\r\n\t\t\t\r\n\t\t\t<\/h2>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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      SpaceX\u2019s flotation marks a significant milestone in the history of the financial markets given its exceptional scale. It is, in fact, the largest IPO ever carried out: the sale of newly issued shares raised $85.7 billion, nearly three times the amount raised by Saudi Aramco in 2019, the previous record of $29.5 billion. <\/p>

      This IPO could pave the way for a wave of mega-IPOs. Unsurprisingly, these are technology-related companies, notably in artificial intelligence (OpenAI, Anthropic), fintech (Revolut, Stripe) and digital infrastructure (Databricks). What they have in common is that they have achieved very high valuations in the private markets, whilst requiring significant capital to fund their growth, particularly in data centres, computing, payments and financial services. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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      This wave of initial public offerings could reverse a trend observed in the US market since the early 2000s. For two decades, companies have bought back more shares than the market has created through IPOs and new share issues. This contraction in supply, combined with persistent demand for US shares, has supported prices and contributed to one of the longest bull markets in history. With the expected mega-IPOs, 2026 could thus mark a turning point by once again becoming a year of positive net supply for US shares. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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      For investors, this wave could broaden access to companies previously reserved for private capital, but it also raises a key question: will the public markets have the capacity to absorb this capital and, consequently, will they be prepared to value these companies at the same level as private investors?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      This is an introductory text<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":34333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[72,73,71],"class_list":["post-34309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-investors-en","tag-marketing-en","tag-payment-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSpaceX goes public: a sign of a new wave of mega-IPOs? | XO Investments<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gestion de fortune et conseil pour investisseurs priv\u00e9s et institutionnels. Comment, o\u00f9, quand investir? 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